Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.028781 0.030968 0.033161 0.035520 0.037985 0.040480 0.043194
2025-11-09 0.024605 0.028015 0.031552 0.035482 0.039712 0.044115 0.049033
2025-11-16 0.022005 0.026079 0.030407 0.035320 0.040715 0.046431 0.052921
2025-11-23 0.019894 0.024435 0.029362 0.035058 0.041418 0.048257 0.056125
2025-11-30 0.018248 0.023153 0.028577 0.034950 0.042168 0.050027 0.059172
2025-12-07 0.016531 0.021664 0.027446 0.034347 0.042270 0.050999 0.061259
2025-12-14 0.014925 0.020199 0.026249 0.033582 0.042110 0.051609 0.062882
2025-12-21 0.013553 0.018931 0.025209 0.032927 0.042014 0.052238 0.064479
2025-12-28 0.013091 0.018731 0.025404 0.033697 0.043547 0.054713 0.068165
2026-01-04 0.012322 0.018105 0.025050 0.033780 0.044250 0.056211 0.070716
2026-01-11 0.011537 0.017418 0.024584 0.033698 0.044731 0.057429 0.072929
2026-01-18 0.011242 0.017338 0.024852 0.034492 0.046245 0.059851 0.076537
2026-01-25 0.010540 0.016744 0.024516 0.034608 0.047032 0.061524 0.079411
2026-02-01 0.009783 0.016055 0.024047 0.034558 0.047630 0.063001 0.082096
2026-02-08 0.009052 0.015352 0.023521 0.034401 0.048067 0.064259 0.084502
2026-02-15 0.008339 0.014633 0.022938 0.034143 0.048354 0.065319 0.086660
2026-02-22 0.007742 0.014042 0.022495 0.034037 0.048808 0.066567 0.089032
2026-03-01 0.007012 0.013214 0.021700 0.033444 0.048627 0.067022 0.090434
2026-03-08 0.006285 0.012345 0.020810 0.032692 0.048215 0.067171 0.091448
2026-03-15 0.005653 0.011577 0.020025 0.032048 0.047916 0.067437 0.092587
2026-03-22 0.005511 0.011561 0.020288 0.032805 0.049416 0.069936 0.096456
2026-03-29 0.005172 0.011211 0.020061 0.032887 0.050034 0.071331 0.098974
2026-04-05 0.004807 0.010797 0.019726 0.032806 0.050430 0.072442 0.101137